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Science 8 November 1996:
Vol. 274. no. 5289, pp. 913 - 914
DOI: 10.1126/science.274.5289.913
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News & Comment

Richard A. Kerr

How do you assess the risks of rare but catastrophic events, like a volcanic eruption at the proposed Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository? That question has plagued science policy-makers for years, and now many geoscientists are using a new way to mathematically combine the risk and uncertainty estimates from a panel of experts. In the case of Yucca Mountain, this "expert elicitation" method has just yielded some surprising results.

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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)